AI market-call public hit rate (2026, updated continuously)

Last updated 2026-07-19

Yes — See-Market publishes a public, verifiable hit rate for its daily AI market predictions. The AI Oracle makes a free bull/bear call each day on 15 major markets (including Taiwan's TAIEX and the US S&P 500 / Nasdaq), alongside a transparent quant Strength baseline. Every call is timestamped and graded hit or miss 5 trading days later — this is the full, public, machine-readable accuracy record, tracking since 2026-05-28.

Cumulative hit rate (live)
Quant baseline
51%
440 graded
vs
The AI Oracle
50%
370 graded

548 calls tracked since 2026-05-28. Both tracks are graded on the same live forward calls; first results score 5 trading days after each call.

Is AI good at predicting Taiwan stocks (TAIEX)?

See-Market's AI Oracle has made 33 live bull/bear calls on Taiwan's TAIEX index, each graded hit/miss after 5 trading days. Its live hit rate on TAIEX so far is 48% (23 graded). The full, dated record is in the table below.

Hit rate by market

Live hit rate per market — AI Oracle vs the quant baseline, each graded 5 trading days out. Last updated 2026-07-19.

See-Market AI Oracle vs quant baseline hit rate by market, 2026 (live forward calls, graded 5 trading days out)
MarketAI Oracle hit rateQuant baseline hit rateTracking since
Bitcoin23/39 (59%)23/44 (52%)2026-05-30
Ethereum19/36 (53%)20/39 (51%)2026-05-30
Silver16/27 (59%)20/29 (69%)2026-05-29
Nifty 5015/24 (63%)19/30 (63%)2026-05-29
DAX8/26 (31%)10/27 (37%)2026-05-29
Nikkei 2259/21 (43%)12/32 (38%)2026-05-28
TAIEX11/23 (48%)15/30 (50%)2026-05-28
Crude Oil (WTI)15/25 (60%)18/28 (64%)2026-05-29
S&P 50011/24 (46%)14/28 (50%)2026-05-29
KOSPI11/22 (50%)10/27 (37%)2026-05-29
Hang Seng12/22 (55%)15/26 (58%)2026-05-29
FTSE 10010/20 (50%)15/27 (56%)2026-05-29
Gold12/22 (55%)16/25 (64%)2026-05-29
Nasdaq Composite6/20 (30%)11/26 (42%)2026-05-29
CSI 3007/19 (37%)7/22 (32%)2026-05-29

“X/Y” = hits / graded calls; a percentage is shown once a market has ≥10 graded calls. Markets still accumulating their first graded calls show “accumulating.”

Hit rate by month

Graded calls bucketed by month — AI Oracle vs the quant baseline. Monthly samples are small, so read the counts, not just the percentage.

See-Market monthly hit rate, AI Oracle vs quant baseline, 2026
MonthAI Oracle (hits / graded)Quant baseline (hits / graded)
2026-056/13 (46%)9/16 (56%)
2026-06146/260 (56%)180/320 (56%)
2026-0733/97 (34%)36/104 (35%)

Every call, dated & graded

DateMarketOracle callResult
2026-07-19Ethereum– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-19Bitcoin▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-18Ethereum▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-18Bitcoin– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-17TAIEX▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-17Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-17Nikkei 225▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-17Nasdaq Composite▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-17Hang Seng– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-17S&P 500– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-17DAX▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-17FTSE 100▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-17Silver▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-17Gold– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-17Ethereum▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-17Crude Oil (WTI)▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-17Bitcoin▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-17CSI 300▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-16TAIEX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-16Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-16Nikkei 225– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-16KOSPI▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-16Nasdaq Composite▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-16Hang Seng▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-16S&P 500▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-16DAX– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-16FTSE 100▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-16Silver▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-16Gold– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-16Ethereum▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-16Crude Oil (WTI)– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-16Bitcoin▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-16CSI 300▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-15TAIEX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-15Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-15Nikkei 225▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-15KOSPI▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-15Nasdaq Composite▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-15Hang Seng– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-15S&P 500▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-15DAX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-15FTSE 100▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-15Silver▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-15Gold▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-15Ethereum▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-15Crude Oil (WTI)▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-15Bitcoin– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-15CSI 300▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-14TAIEX– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-14Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-14Nikkei 225▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-14KOSPI▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-14Nasdaq Composite▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-14Hang Seng▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-14S&P 500▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-14DAX– NEUTRALpending
2026-07-14FTSE 100▲ BULLISHpending
2026-07-14Silver▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-14Gold▼ BEARISHpending
2026-07-14Ethereum▼ BEARISHpending

FAQ

What is See-Market's hit rate?

The AI Oracle's live hit rate is 50% (370 graded), vs the quant baseline at 51% (440 graded), measured 5 trading days after each call since 2026-05-28. Both are published in full above.

How are the calls graded?

Five trading days after each call we compare the close to the close on the call day: a bullish call is a hit if price rose, a bearish call if it fell. No-calls aren't graded. Each result is locked in and never edited.

Related: Can AI actually predict the stock market?

Open data — cite these numbers

The full record above is also published as a machine-readable JSON feed (CORS-open, versioned, updated daily) — overall, per-market and monthly hit rates plus every dated, graded call:

https://ai-seemarket.com/data/track-record.json

Citation: See-Market AI Oracle track record, ai-seemarket.com/track-record/ (accessed 2026-07-19). Free to reuse with attribution to See-Market (ai-seemarket.com) and the access date.

Not investment advice, and not a promise of future accuracy — past hit rate does not predict future results. Market data via Yahoo Finance.

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