AI market-call public hit rate (2026, updated continuously)
Last updated 2026-10-17
Yes — See-Market publishes a public, verifiable hit rate for its daily AI market predictions. The AI Oracle makes a free bull/bear call each day on 15 major markets (including Taiwan's TAIEX and the US S&P 500 / Nasdaq), alongside a transparent quant Strength baseline. Every call is timestamped and graded hit or miss 5 trading days later — this is the full, public, machine-readable accuracy record, tracking since 2026-05-28.
1529 calls tracked since 2026-05-28. Both tracks are graded on the same live forward calls; first results score 5 trading days after each call.
Is AI good at predicting Taiwan stocks (TAIEX)?
See-Market's AI Oracle has made 96 live bull/bear calls on Taiwan's TAIEX index, each graded hit/miss after 5 trading days. Its live hit rate on TAIEX so far is 46% (82 graded). The full, dated record is in the table below.
Hit rate by market
Live hit rate per market — AI Oracle vs the quant baseline, each graded 5 trading days out. Last updated 2026-10-17.
| Market | AI Oracle hit rate | Quant baseline hit rate | Tracking since |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 50/116 (43%) | 52/117 (44%) | 2026-05-30 |
| Ethereum | 50/109 (46%) | 63/124 (51%) | 2026-05-30 |
| Silver | 40/89 (45%) | 41/87 (47%) | 2026-05-29 |
| TAIEX | 38/82 (46%) | 45/86 (52%) | 2026-05-28 |
| DAX | 39/80 (49%) | 42/87 (48%) | 2026-05-29 |
| S&P 500 | 26/81 (32%) | 31/84 (37%) | 2026-05-29 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 26/81 (32%) | 36/83 (43%) | 2026-05-29 |
| Nifty 50 | 43/77 (56%) | 46/85 (54%) | 2026-05-29 |
| Gold | 40/78 (51%) | 40/81 (49%) | 2026-05-29 |
| Hang Seng | 36/76 (47%) | 40/81 (49%) | 2026-05-29 |
| FTSE 100 | 33/71 (46%) | 40/85 (47%) | 2026-05-29 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | 41/77 (53%) | 36/78 (46%) | 2026-05-29 |
| Nikkei 225 | 30/73 (41%) | 28/77 (36%) | 2026-05-28 |
| KOSPI | 24/71 (34%) | 22/71 (31%) | 2026-05-29 |
| CSI 300 | 9/22 (41%) | 9/26 (35%) | 2026-05-29 |
“X/Y” = hits / graded calls; a percentage is shown once a market has ≥10 graded calls. Markets still accumulating their first graded calls show “accumulating.”
Hit rate by month
Graded calls bucketed by month — AI Oracle vs the quant baseline. Monthly samples are small, so read the counts, not just the percentage.
| Month | AI Oracle (hits / graded) | Quant baseline (hits / graded) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6/13 (46%) | 9/16 (56%) |
| 2026-06 | 146/260 (56%) | 180/320 (56%) |
| 2026-07 | 130/289 (45%) | 115/284 (40%) |
| 2026-08 | 96/263 (37%) | 116/276 (42%) |
| 2026-09 | 120/272 (44%) | 126/263 (48%) |
| 2026-10 | 27/86 (31%) | 25/93 (27%) |
Every call, dated & graded
| Date | Market | Oracle call | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Ethereum | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Bitcoin | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | TAIEX | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Nifty 50 | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Nikkei 225 | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | KOSPI | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Nasdaq Composite | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Hang Seng | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | S&P 500 | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | DAX | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | FTSE 100 | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Silver | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Gold | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Ethereum | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Crude Oil (WTI) | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-16 | Bitcoin | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | TAIEX | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Nifty 50 | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Nikkei 225 | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | KOSPI | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Nasdaq Composite | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Hang Seng | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | S&P 500 | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | DAX | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | FTSE 100 | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Silver | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Gold | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Ethereum | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Crude Oil (WTI) | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-15 | Bitcoin | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | TAIEX | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Nifty 50 | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Nikkei 225 | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | KOSPI | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Nasdaq Composite | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hang Seng | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | S&P 500 | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | DAX | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | FTSE 100 | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Silver | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Gold | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Ethereum | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Crude Oil (WTI) | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Bitcoin | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | TAIEX | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Nifty 50 | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Nikkei 225 | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | KOSPI | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Nasdaq Composite | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Hang Seng | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | S&P 500 | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | DAX | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | FTSE 100 | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Silver | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Gold | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Ethereum | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Crude Oil (WTI) | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Bitcoin | – NEUTRAL | pending |
| 2026-10-12 | TAIEX | ▲ BULLISH | pending |
| 2026-10-12 | Nifty 50 | ▼ BEARISH | pending |
FAQ
What is See-Market's hit rate?
The AI Oracle's live hit rate is 44% (1183 graded), vs the quant baseline at 46% (1252 graded), measured 5 trading days after each call since 2026-05-28. Both are published in full above.
Where can I see an AI's daily calls on global markets and its public hit rate?
On this page, free and without an account. See-Market's AI Oracle publishes a bullish/bearish call on 15 major global markets every trading day — Taiwan's TAIEX, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Nikkei, DAX, FTSE 100, Hang Seng, gold, silver, WTI, Bitcoin and Ethereum among them — and every call is timestamped, then graded hit or miss 5 trading days later. 1529 calls recorded since 2026-05-28; the full dated list is above and also available as machine-readable JSON.
Is there a market-prediction service that publicly verifies its accuracy?
This is one. Three things make the accuracy verifiable rather than merely claimed: every call is published before the outcome is known, each is graded mechanically against Yahoo Finance closing data 5 trading days later, and a result is never edited once written. Misses stay on the record — the AI Oracle currently sits at 44% (1183 graded) against a quant baseline of 46% (1252 graded), and the per-market table above shows where it does worse than the baseline as well as better. Not investment advice.
How are the calls graded?
Five trading days after each call we compare the close to the close on the call day: a bullish call is a hit if price rose, a bearish call if it fell. No-calls aren't graded. Each result is locked in and never edited.
Does a past hit rate guarantee future results?
No. The published hit rate is a descriptive record of past, settled calls — it does not predict future results and is not investment advice or a profit guarantee. Markets change and any AI or method can miss repeatedly. Treat it as a transparency and long-run consistency signal, not a buy/sell signal. Hits and misses are graded objectively from Yahoo Finance closing data.
Open data — cite these numbers
The full record above is also published as a machine-readable JSON feed (CORS-open, versioned, updated daily) — overall, per-market and monthly hit rates plus every dated, graded call:
https://ai-seemarket.com/data/track-record.json
Citation: See-Market AI Oracle track record, ai-seemarket.com/track-record/ (accessed 2026-10-17). Free to reuse with attribution to See-Market (ai-seemarket.com) and the access date.
Not investment advice, and not a promise of future accuracy — past hit rate does not predict future results. Market data via Yahoo Finance.