AI market-call public hit rate (2026, updated continuously)

Last updated 2026-08-07

Yes — See-Market publishes a public, verifiable hit rate for its daily AI market predictions. The AI Oracle makes a free bull/bear call each day on 15 major markets (including Taiwan's TAIEX and the US S&P 500 / Nasdaq), alongside a transparent quant Strength baseline. Every call is timestamped and graded hit or miss 5 trading days later — this is the full, public, machine-readable accuracy record, tracking since 2026-05-28.

Cumulative hit rate (live)
Quant baseline
49%
618 graded
vs
The AI Oracle
50%
560 graded

776 calls tracked since 2026-05-28. Both tracks are graded on the same live forward calls; first results score 5 trading days after each call.

Is AI good at predicting Taiwan stocks (TAIEX)?

See-Market's AI Oracle has made 48 live bull/bear calls on Taiwan's TAIEX index, each graded hit/miss after 5 trading days. Its live hit rate on TAIEX so far is 38% (37 graded). The full, dated record is in the table below.

Hit rate by market

Live hit rate per market — AI Oracle vs the quant baseline, each graded 5 trading days out. Last updated 2026-08-07.

See-Market AI Oracle vs quant baseline hit rate by market, 2026 (live forward calls, graded 5 trading days out)
MarketAI Oracle hit rateQuant baseline hit rateTracking since
Bitcoin31/54 (57%)29/56 (52%)2026-05-30
Ethereum30/52 (58%)28/56 (50%)2026-05-30
Silver21/42 (50%)26/44 (59%)2026-05-29
TAIEX14/37 (38%)15/41 (37%)2026-05-28
Nifty 5019/36 (53%)25/42 (60%)2026-05-29
KOSPI19/36 (53%)20/42 (48%)2026-05-29
Nikkei 22515/33 (45%)17/44 (39%)2026-05-28
DAX15/37 (41%)17/39 (44%)2026-05-29
Gold18/35 (51%)18/40 (45%)2026-05-29
S&P 50012/37 (32%)14/37 (38%)2026-05-29
FTSE 10022/34 (65%)26/40 (65%)2026-05-29
Crude Oil (WTI)24/37 (65%)20/36 (56%)2026-05-29
Hang Seng19/34 (56%)24/38 (63%)2026-05-29
Nasdaq Composite11/34 (32%)14/37 (38%)2026-05-29
CSI 3009/22 (41%)9/26 (35%)2026-05-29

“X/Y” = hits / graded calls; a percentage is shown once a market has ≥10 graded calls. Markets still accumulating their first graded calls show “accumulating.”

Hit rate by month

Graded calls bucketed by month — AI Oracle vs the quant baseline. Monthly samples are small, so read the counts, not just the percentage.

See-Market monthly hit rate, AI Oracle vs quant baseline, 2026
MonthAI Oracle (hits / graded)Quant baseline (hits / graded)
2026-056/13 (46%)9/16 (56%)
2026-06146/260 (56%)180/320 (56%)
2026-07127/285 (45%)112/280 (40%)
2026-080/21/2

Every call, dated & graded

DateMarketOracle callResult
2026-08-07TAIEX▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-07Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-07Nikkei 225▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-07KOSPI▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-07Hang Seng– NEUTRALpending
2026-08-07Silver▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-07Gold▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-07Ethereum▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-07Crude Oil (WTI)– NEUTRALpending
2026-08-07Bitcoin▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-07CSI 300▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06TAIEX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06Nikkei 225▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06KOSPI▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-06Nasdaq Composite▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-06Hang Seng– NEUTRALpending
2026-08-06S&P 500▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06DAX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06FTSE 100▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06Silver▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06Gold▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06Ethereum▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06Crude Oil (WTI)▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-06Bitcoin▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-06CSI 300▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-05TAIEX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-05Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-05Nikkei 225▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-05KOSPI▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-05Nasdaq Composite▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-05Hang Seng▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-05S&P 500▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-05DAX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-05FTSE 100▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-05Silver– NEUTRALpending
2026-08-05Gold▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-05Ethereum– NEUTRALpending
2026-08-05Crude Oil (WTI)▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-05Bitcoin▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-05CSI 300– NEUTRALpending
2026-08-04TAIEX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-04Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-04Nikkei 225▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-04KOSPI▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-04Nasdaq Composite▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-04Hang Seng▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-04S&P 500▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-04DAX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-04FTSE 100– NEUTRALpending
2026-08-04Silver▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-04Gold▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-04Ethereum▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-04Crude Oil (WTI)▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-04Bitcoin▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-04CSI 300▼ BEARISHpending
2026-08-03TAIEX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-03Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-03Nikkei 225▲ BULLISHpending
2026-08-03KOSPI▼ BEARISHpending

FAQ

What is See-Market's hit rate?

The AI Oracle's live hit rate is 50% (560 graded), vs the quant baseline at 49% (618 graded), measured 5 trading days after each call since 2026-05-28. Both are published in full above.

How are the calls graded?

Five trading days after each call we compare the close to the close on the call day: a bullish call is a hit if price rose, a bearish call if it fell. No-calls aren't graded. Each result is locked in and never edited.

Does a past hit rate guarantee future results?

No. The published hit rate is a descriptive record of past, settled calls — it does not predict future results and is not investment advice or a profit guarantee. Markets change and any AI or method can miss repeatedly. Treat it as a transparency and long-run consistency signal, not a buy/sell signal. Hits and misses are graded objectively from Yahoo Finance closing data.

Related: Can AI actually predict the stock market?

Open data — cite these numbers

The full record above is also published as a machine-readable JSON feed (CORS-open, versioned, updated daily) — overall, per-market and monthly hit rates plus every dated, graded call:

https://ai-seemarket.com/data/track-record.json

Citation: See-Market AI Oracle track record, ai-seemarket.com/track-record/ (accessed 2026-08-07). Free to reuse with attribution to See-Market (ai-seemarket.com) and the access date.

Not investment advice, and not a promise of future accuracy — past hit rate does not predict future results. Market data via Yahoo Finance.

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