{
  "name": "See-Market public hit-rate track record",
  "description": "Complete, dated record of See-Market's daily bull/bear calls on the world's most-watched markets — the AI Oracle's own call and the mechanical quant baseline alongside — each graded hit/miss by close-to-close direction 5 trading days later.",
  "source": "https://ai-seemarket.com/track-record/",
  "publisher": "See-Market (ai-seemarket.com), part of the Morgan Universe",
  "license": "Free to cite with attribution. Please credit \"See-Market (ai-seemarket.com)\" and the access date.",
  "citationExample": "See-Market AI Oracle track record, ai-seemarket.com/track-record/ (accessed YYYY-MM-DD).",
  "disclaimer": "Descriptive market commentary and a transparency record — NOT investment advice, and not a promise of future accuracy. Past hit rate does not predict future results.",
  "methodology": "Every live daily call is logged before its 5-trading-day horizon and graded hit/miss by close-to-close direction. This is the complete record with no sample selection; neutral calls are not scored. Hit rates on small samples are noisy — see stdError and calls (sample size) on each figure.",
  "version": 1,
  "generatedAt": "2026-10-11T05:41:08.697Z",
  "dataThrough": "2026-10-11",
  "startDate": "2026-05-28",
  "horizonTradingDays": 5,
  "universe": {
    "instruments": 15
  },
  "overall": {
    "oracle": {
      "calls": 1122,
      "hits": 509,
      "hitRate": 0.4537,
      "stdError": 0.0149
    },
    "quant": {
      "calls": 1187,
      "hits": 559,
      "hitRate": 0.4709,
      "stdError": 0.0145
    }
  },
  "byMarket": [
    {
      "symbol": "^GSPC",
      "name": "S&P 500",
      "nameZh": "標普 500",
      "region": "United States",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 76,
        "hits": 25,
        "hitRate": 0.3289,
        "stdError": 0.0539
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 79,
        "hits": 30,
        "hitRate": 0.3797,
        "stdError": 0.0546
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-10-09"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "^IXIC",
      "name": "Nasdaq Composite",
      "nameZh": "那斯達克綜合",
      "region": "United States",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 77,
        "hits": 26,
        "hitRate": 0.3377,
        "stdError": 0.0539
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 78,
        "hits": 36,
        "hitRate": 0.4615,
        "stdError": 0.0564
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-10-09"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "^FTSE",
      "name": "FTSE 100",
      "nameZh": "英國富時 100",
      "region": "United Kingdom",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 66,
        "hits": 32,
        "hitRate": 0.4848,
        "stdError": 0.0615
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 80,
        "hits": 40,
        "hitRate": 0.5,
        "stdError": 0.0559
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-10-09"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "^GDAXI",
      "name": "DAX",
      "nameZh": "德國 DAX",
      "region": "Germany",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 76,
        "hits": 39,
        "hitRate": 0.5132,
        "stdError": 0.0573
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 83,
        "hits": 42,
        "hitRate": 0.506,
        "stdError": 0.0549
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-10-09"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "^N225",
      "name": "Nikkei 225",
      "nameZh": "日經 225",
      "region": "Japan",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 69,
        "hits": 30,
        "hitRate": 0.4348,
        "stdError": 0.0597
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 73,
        "hits": 28,
        "hitRate": 0.3836,
        "stdError": 0.0569
      },
      "since": "2026-05-28",
      "latest": "2026-10-09"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "^HSI",
      "name": "Hang Seng",
      "nameZh": "恒生指數",
      "region": "Hong Kong",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 71,
        "hits": 35,
        "hitRate": 0.493,
        "stdError": 0.0593
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 76,
        "hits": 39,
        "hitRate": 0.5132,
        "stdError": 0.0573
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-10-09"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "000300.SS",
      "name": "CSI 300",
      "nameZh": "滬深 300",
      "region": "China",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 22,
        "hits": 9,
        "hitRate": 0.4091,
        "stdError": 0.1048
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 26,
        "hits": 9,
        "hitRate": 0.3462,
        "stdError": 0.0933
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-09-15"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "^TWII",
      "name": "TAIEX",
      "nameZh": "台灣加權",
      "region": "Taiwan",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 77,
        "hits": 37,
        "hitRate": 0.4805,
        "stdError": 0.0569
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 81,
        "hits": 44,
        "hitRate": 0.5432,
        "stdError": 0.0553
      },
      "since": "2026-05-28",
      "latest": "2026-10-08"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "^NSEI",
      "name": "Nifty 50",
      "nameZh": "印度 Nifty 50",
      "region": "India",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 72,
        "hits": 41,
        "hitRate": 0.5694,
        "stdError": 0.0584
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 80,
        "hits": 44,
        "hitRate": 0.55,
        "stdError": 0.0556
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-10-09"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "^KS11",
      "name": "KOSPI",
      "nameZh": "韓國綜合",
      "region": "South Korea",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 67,
        "hits": 22,
        "hitRate": 0.3284,
        "stdError": 0.0574
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 68,
        "hits": 22,
        "hitRate": 0.3235,
        "stdError": 0.0567
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-10-08"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "GC=F",
      "name": "Gold",
      "nameZh": "黃金",
      "region": "Commodities",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 76,
        "hits": 39,
        "hitRate": 0.5132,
        "stdError": 0.0573
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 76,
        "hits": 39,
        "hitRate": 0.5132,
        "stdError": 0.0573
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-10-09"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SI=F",
      "name": "Silver",
      "nameZh": "白銀",
      "region": "Commodities",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 85,
        "hits": 38,
        "hitRate": 0.4471,
        "stdError": 0.0539
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 82,
        "hits": 37,
        "hitRate": 0.4512,
        "stdError": 0.055
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-10-09"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CL=F",
      "name": "Crude Oil (WTI)",
      "nameZh": "西德州原油",
      "region": "Commodities",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 72,
        "hits": 40,
        "hitRate": 0.5556,
        "stdError": 0.0586
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 74,
        "hits": 36,
        "hitRate": 0.4865,
        "stdError": 0.0581
      },
      "since": "2026-05-29",
      "latest": "2026-10-09"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BTC-USD",
      "name": "Bitcoin",
      "nameZh": "比特幣",
      "region": "Crypto",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 111,
        "hits": 48,
        "hitRate": 0.4324,
        "stdError": 0.047
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 111,
        "hits": 51,
        "hitRate": 0.4595,
        "stdError": 0.0473
      },
      "since": "2026-05-30",
      "latest": "2026-10-11"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "ETH-USD",
      "name": "Ethereum",
      "nameZh": "以太幣",
      "region": "Crypto",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 105,
        "hits": 48,
        "hitRate": 0.4571,
        "stdError": 0.0486
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 120,
        "hits": 62,
        "hitRate": 0.5167,
        "stdError": 0.0456
      },
      "since": "2026-05-30",
      "latest": "2026-10-11"
    }
  ],
  "monthly": [
    {
      "month": "2026-05",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 13,
        "hits": 6,
        "hitRate": 0.4615,
        "stdError": 0.1383
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 16,
        "hits": 9,
        "hitRate": 0.5625,
        "stdError": 0.124
      }
    },
    {
      "month": "2026-06",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 260,
        "hits": 146,
        "hitRate": 0.5615,
        "stdError": 0.0308
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 320,
        "hits": 180,
        "hitRate": 0.5625,
        "stdError": 0.0277
      }
    },
    {
      "month": "2026-07",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 289,
        "hits": 130,
        "hitRate": 0.4498,
        "stdError": 0.0293
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 284,
        "hits": 115,
        "hitRate": 0.4049,
        "stdError": 0.0291
      }
    },
    {
      "month": "2026-08",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 263,
        "hits": 96,
        "hitRate": 0.365,
        "stdError": 0.0297
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 276,
        "hits": 116,
        "hitRate": 0.4203,
        "stdError": 0.0297
      }
    },
    {
      "month": "2026-09",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 272,
        "hits": 120,
        "hitRate": 0.4412,
        "stdError": 0.0301
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 263,
        "hits": 126,
        "hitRate": 0.4791,
        "stdError": 0.0308
      }
    },
    {
      "month": "2026-10",
      "oracle": {
        "calls": 25,
        "hits": 11,
        "hitRate": 0.44,
        "stdError": 0.0993
      },
      "quant": {
        "calls": 28,
        "hits": 13,
        "hitRate": 0.4643,
        "stdError": 0.0942
      }
    }
  ],
  "calls": [
    {
      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "symbol": "ETH-USD",
      "name": "Ethereum",
      "nameZh": "以太幣",
      "region": "Crypto",
      "close": 2502.17,
      "strength": 55,
      "oracleCall": "neutral",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "symbol": "BTC-USD",
      "name": "Bitcoin",
      "nameZh": "比特幣",
      "region": "Crypto",
      "close": 82887.07,
      "strength": 69,
      "oracleCall": "bullish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-10",
      "symbol": "ETH-USD",
      "name": "Ethereum",
      "nameZh": "以太幣",
      "region": "Crypto",
      "close": 2486.74,
      "strength": 53,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "neutral",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-10",
      "symbol": "BTC-USD",
      "name": "Bitcoin",
      "nameZh": "比特幣",
      "region": "Crypto",
      "close": 82489.18,
      "strength": 66,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "^NSEI",
      "name": "Nifty 50",
      "nameZh": "印度 Nifty 50",
      "region": "India",
      "close": 22483.85,
      "strength": 16,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "^N225",
      "name": "Nikkei 225",
      "nameZh": "日經 225",
      "region": "Japan",
      "close": 68656.12,
      "strength": 74,
      "oracleCall": "bullish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "^IXIC",
      "name": "Nasdaq Composite",
      "nameZh": "那斯達克綜合",
      "region": "United States",
      "close": 27366.17,
      "strength": 85,
      "oracleCall": "bullish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "^HSI",
      "name": "Hang Seng",
      "nameZh": "恒生指數",
      "region": "Hong Kong",
      "close": 24117.01,
      "strength": 20,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "^GSPC",
      "name": "S&P 500",
      "nameZh": "標普 500",
      "region": "United States",
      "close": 7811.54,
      "strength": 92,
      "oracleCall": "bullish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "^GDAXI",
      "name": "DAX",
      "nameZh": "德國 DAX",
      "region": "Germany",
      "close": 25087.27,
      "strength": 24,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "^FTSE",
      "name": "FTSE 100",
      "nameZh": "英國富時 100",
      "region": "United Kingdom",
      "close": 10552.05,
      "strength": 35,
      "oracleCall": "bullish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "SI=F",
      "name": "Silver",
      "nameZh": "白銀",
      "region": "Commodities",
      "close": 59.85,
      "strength": 23,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "GC=F",
      "name": "Gold",
      "nameZh": "黃金",
      "region": "Commodities",
      "close": 4169,
      "strength": 26,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "ETH-USD",
      "name": "Ethereum",
      "nameZh": "以太幣",
      "region": "Crypto",
      "close": 2474.43,
      "strength": 46,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "neutral",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "CL=F",
      "name": "Crude Oil (WTI)",
      "nameZh": "西德州原油",
      "region": "Commodities",
      "close": 91.12,
      "strength": 45,
      "oracleCall": "bullish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "neutral",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "symbol": "BTC-USD",
      "name": "Bitcoin",
      "nameZh": "比特幣",
      "region": "Crypto",
      "close": 81726.63,
      "strength": 60,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "^TWII",
      "name": "TAIEX",
      "nameZh": "台灣加權",
      "region": "Taiwan",
      "close": 49441.15,
      "strength": 92,
      "oracleCall": "bullish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "^NSEI",
      "name": "Nifty 50",
      "nameZh": "印度 Nifty 50",
      "region": "India",
      "close": 22445.85,
      "strength": 13,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "^N225",
      "name": "Nikkei 225",
      "nameZh": "日經 225",
      "region": "Japan",
      "close": 69290.2,
      "strength": 83,
      "oracleCall": "bullish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "^KS11",
      "name": "KOSPI",
      "nameZh": "韓國綜合",
      "region": "South Korea",
      "close": 6749.38,
      "strength": 50,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "neutral",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "^IXIC",
      "name": "Nasdaq Composite",
      "nameZh": "那斯達克綜合",
      "region": "United States",
      "close": 27193.34,
      "strength": 77,
      "oracleCall": "neutral",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "^HSI",
      "name": "Hang Seng",
      "nameZh": "恒生指數",
      "region": "Hong Kong",
      "close": 24001.58,
      "strength": 10,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "^GSPC",
      "name": "S&P 500",
      "nameZh": "標普 500",
      "region": "United States",
      "close": 7765.36,
      "strength": 81,
      "oracleCall": "bullish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "^GDAXI",
      "name": "DAX",
      "nameZh": "德國 DAX",
      "region": "Germany",
      "close": 24806.97,
      "strength": 6,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "^FTSE",
      "name": "FTSE 100",
      "nameZh": "英國富時 100",
      "region": "United Kingdom",
      "close": 10441.6,
      "strength": 14,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "SI=F",
      "name": "Silver",
      "nameZh": "白銀",
      "region": "Commodities",
      "close": 60.12,
      "strength": 24,
      "oracleCall": "neutral",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "GC=F",
      "name": "Gold",
      "nameZh": "黃金",
      "region": "Commodities",
      "close": 4141.5,
      "strength": 17,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bearish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "ETH-USD",
      "name": "Ethereum",
      "nameZh": "以太幣",
      "region": "Crypto",
      "close": 2576.37,
      "strength": 63,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
      "quantCall": "bullish",
      "quantResult": "pending",
      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "symbol": "CL=F",
      "name": "Crude Oil (WTI)",
      "nameZh": "西德州原油",
      "region": "Commodities",
      "close": 89.12,
      "strength": 37,
      "oracleCall": "bearish",
      "oracleResult": "pending",
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    },
    {
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      "symbol": "^FTSE",
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      "nameZh": "英國富時 100",
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    {
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      "symbol": "SI=F",
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    },
    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
      "date": "2026-07-03",
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      "close": 4855.99,
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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      "close": 7780.41,
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    {
      "date": "2026-07-02",
      "symbol": "^IXIC",
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    {
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    {
      "date": "2026-07-02",
      "symbol": "^GSPC",
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-30",
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    {
      "date": "2026-06-30",
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    {
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    {
      "date": "2026-06-30",
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    {
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    {
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    {
      "date": "2026-06-30",
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    {
      "date": "2026-06-30",
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    {
      "date": "2026-06-30",
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    {
      "date": "2026-06-30",
      "symbol": "CL=F",
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    },
    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    },
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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      "symbol": "^NSEI",
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    },
    {
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    },
    {
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      "symbol": "^KS11",
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    },
    {
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      "symbol": "^IXIC",
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    {
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    },
    {
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    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-15",
      "symbol": "SI=F",
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    },
    {
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    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-15",
      "symbol": "ETH-USD",
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      "close": 1716.32,
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    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-15",
      "symbol": "CL=F",
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      "horizonTradingDays": 5
    },
    {
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    {
      "date": "2026-06-15",
      "symbol": "000300.SS",
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      "close": 4853.48,
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    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-14",
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    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-14",
      "symbol": "GC=F",
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    },
    {
      "date": "2026-06-14",
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      "close": 1676.66,
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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    {
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  ]
}